Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.188956 0.220436 0.254957 0.295546 0.341879 0.393035 0.453708
2025-11-30 0.143595 0.188282 0.242494 0.312699 0.400758 0.507069 0.644592
2025-12-07 0.108706 0.155968 0.217893 0.304102 0.419992 0.569229 0.774579
2025-12-14 0.085335 0.132186 0.197685 0.294518 0.432293 0.619214 0.889428
2025-12-21 0.069307 0.114947 0.182519 0.287806 0.445130 0.668299 1.004660
2025-12-28 0.059942 0.105622 0.176755 0.292776 0.473619 0.740094 1.156175
2026-01-04 0.053567 0.099737 0.174989 0.302863 0.509791 0.825084 1.332836
2026-01-11 0.047589 0.093396 0.171358 0.309042 0.539774 0.902406 1.503233
2026-01-18 0.042027 0.086787 0.166204 0.311705 0.563739 0.971554 1.665421
2026-01-25 0.036985 0.080252 0.160168 0.311837 0.582959 1.033913 1.820581
2026-02-01 0.032207 0.073399 0.152560 0.308064 0.594673 1.084230 1.958959
2026-02-08 0.028065 0.067115 0.145115 0.303534 0.604228 1.131050 2.094063
2026-02-15 0.023755 0.059815 0.134870 0.292782 0.601908 1.158053 2.199016
2026-02-22 0.022662 0.059459 0.138583 0.309738 0.652967 1.283317 2.484974
2026-03-01 0.019462 0.053667 0.130162 0.301211 0.654203 1.318466 2.612369
2026-03-08 0.016656 0.048277 0.121808 0.291709 0.652335 1.347288 2.729620
2026-03-15 0.014451 0.043958 0.115200 0.285054 0.655350 1.385149 2.865683
2026-03-22 0.013259 0.042071 0.113940 0.289982 0.682665 1.471561 3.099012
2026-03-29 0.012480 0.041165 0.114890 0.299981 0.721518 1.583157 3.387654
2026-04-05 0.011559 0.039685 0.114222 0.306108 0.752429 1.680814 3.654819
2026-04-12 0.010559 0.037776 0.112199 0.308748 0.775774 1.764494 3.899078
2026-04-19 0.009556 0.035649 0.109300 0.308879 0.793350 1.837193 4.125213
2026-04-26 0.008507 0.033155 0.105057 0.305138 0.801607 1.890707 4.315099